Two meetings in five months delivered a 30-20 Hoosier win in Eugene and a 56-22 semifinal blowout in the Peach Bowl on January 9, 2026. This is the stat-by-stat breakdown of how that happened — the yardage, the win-probability swings, and what the series record actually looks like now.

4 related posts

Latest Meeting (Jan 9, 2026): Indiana 56, Oregon 22 — Peach Bowl (CFP recap) ·
Previous Meeting (Oct 11, 2025): Indiana 30, Oregon 20 (FOX Sports box score) ·
All-Time Series Record: Indiana leads 3-2 (reported series history)

Quick snapshot

1Confirmed facts
2What’s unclear
  • Meetings before 2025 are thin in the primary record; the 3-2 series mark is a reported series history, not a fully documented all-time ledger.
3Timeline signal
  • Five months separated the two games — a regular-season upset and a College Football Playoff semifinal rematch.
4What’s next
  • No future matchup is scheduled; Indiana finished the season 15-0 and Oregon 13-2 (Oregon Athletics).

Key facts at a glance

Eight numbers, one pattern: Indiana’s two wins look different in the box score, but each started with the Hoosiers in control.

Metric Value Source
Series leader Indiana, 3-2 Wikipedia’s series summary
Largest victory margin Indiana by 34 — 56-22, Peach Bowl CFP recap
Most recent game Jan. 9, 2026 — Indiana 56, Oregon 22 CFP recap
Average points per game (Indiana) 43.0 — (30 + 56) / 2 Derived from game scores
Average points per game (Oregon) 21.0 — (20 + 22) / 2 Derived from game scores
Regular-season stat line 326-267 yards, 23-14 first downs, 33:10-26:50 time of possession ESPN box score

Who is favored, Indiana vs. Oregon?

Depends on the date. The rankings favored Oregon in October; the scoreboard favored Indiana in January.

Because archived betting lines weren’t part of the official game pages reviewed, the cleanest public signals are the rankings and the results themselves.

What are the betting dds for the Indiana vs Oregon game?

  • Exact betting odds for the 2025 meeting are not publicly archived in the sources pulled for this article.
  • No archived line for the Peach Bowl appears in the ESPN, FOX Sports, College Football Playoff, or Oregon Athletics game pages cited here.

The honest answer is that the odds are the one number the official record doesn’t preerve — but the outcomes are preserved, and they’re decisive.

Which team has the higher win probability?

  • October 2025: No. 7 Indiana visited No. 3 Oregon, so the pregame math pointed toward the Ducks (ESPN’s game page).
  • January 2026: Indiana led 35-7 at halftime, which made the win-probability line a formality before the third quarter (CFP recap).<

    • >

What this means: the word “favorite” traveled from Oregonto Indiana between October and January. A team that puts 56 points on the board doesn’t need a betting market to prove which side had the edge.

How did Indiana beat Oregon?

Not with the same recipe each time. The October game was a grind; the Peach Bowl was a landslide.

What was the score breakdown?

  • Oct. 11, 2025: Indiana 30, Oregon 20 in Eugene — the Hoosiers sealed it with Fernando Mendoza’s fourth-quarter touchdown (FOX Sports box score).
  • Jan. 9, 2026: Indiana 56, Oregon 22 in Atlanta — a 35-7 halftime lead ended the competitive phase early (CFP recap).
The catch

Indiana needed only 326 yards to score 30 in Eugene — efficiency, not volume, was the first warning sign for Oregon’s defense.

Who were the standout players?

  • Fernando Mendoza threw for 215 yards and a key fourth-quarter touchdown in the October win; Indiana outgained Oregon 326-267, led first downs 23-14, and controlled possession 33:10 to 26:50 (ESPN’s box score).
  • In the Peach Bowl, Indiana’s offense scored eight touchdowns, matching the 56-22 margin with no field-goal reliance (CFP recap).

The pattern: Indiana won the line of scrimmage in October and won the scoreboard in January. Oregon never found a counter for either version of the Hoosier attack.

Bottom line: Indiana’s offense, not Oregon’s talent, dictated both outcomes — and the Peach Bowl turned a close series into a Hoosier statement.

What are the all-time stats between Indiana and Oregon?

Short series, sharp turn. According to Wikipedia’s 2026 Peach Bowl article, the teams have met five times, and the Hoosiers now lead the ledger 3-2.

What is the head-to-head record?

  • All-time: Indiana leads 3-2, per Wikipedia’s series summary.
  • Recent form: Indiana has won both meetings in the available record — Oct. 11, 2025 and Jan. 9, 2026.
  • Home/away split: the sites and scores of the earlier meetings are not fully verified in primary sources reviewed here.

How many games have they played?

  • Five games total, including the 2026 Peach Bowl, according to Wikipedia’s Peach Bowl article.
  • Each team won two of the four meetings before the Peach Bowl, which made the semifinal the series decider on Indiana’s side.

For a longer head-to-head comparison, our Michigan State vs Nebraska history breakdown shows what a multi-decade ledger looks like; Indiana-Oregon compressed that history into five months.

The catch: the “all-time” label deserves a footnote. The public record is short, and the two most recent games — both Indiana wins — carry most of the weight in that 3-2 lead.

What was the win probability in the Indiana vs Oregon game?

Neither official recap published a win-probability chart, but the math of the scoreboard is clear enough.

How did win probability shift during the game?

  • Oct. 11, 2025: Mendoza’s fourth-quarter touchdown turned a tight game into a two-score finish for Indiana.
  • Jan. 9, 2026: Indiana led 35-7 by halftime; ESPN’s live win-probability tracker favored the Hoosiers for most of the game as the lead grew (ESPN’s game page).
The upshot

Once Indiana put 35 points on the board by halftime, the win-probability line was effectively frozen — the second half became a countdown.

What factors influenced the outcome?

  • First-half efficiency: Indiana scored 14 points in the first quarter and 21 in the second, per the CFP’s quarter-by-quarter recap.
  • Oregon’s early mistakes: the Ducks’ own recap pointed to early self-inflicted damage (Oregon Athletics).

The implication: win probability is a trailing indicator. By the time the models fully agreed with the scoreboard, Indiana had already finished the argument.

What were the key stats from the Peach Bowl between Indiana and Oregon?

The Peach Bowl box score is the cleanest summary of how wide the gap got: Indiana 56, Oregon 22, with the Hoosiers scoring eight touchdowns and never trailing after the first quarter (FOX Sports box score).

How did the quarter-by-quarter margin build?

  • Indiana: 14 (Q1), 21 (Q2), 7 (Q3), 14 (Q4) — 56 total (CFP recap).
  • Oregon: 7 (Q1), 0 (Q2), 8 (Q3), 7 (Q4) — 22 total (CFP recap).

The game started at 7:30 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, and the competitive portion ended well before the third quarter, per the College Football Playoff recap.

What to watch

Oregon’s margin of error against Indiana is now essentially zero: the Ducks gave up a 35-7 halftime hole in the Peach Bowl, and their own recap blamed early mistakes — a pattern Indiana will happily repeat.

The result: Indiana finished 15-0, Oregon 13-2 (Oregon Athletics) — and the only question left is whether Oregon’s early-mistake problem is fixed before a third meeting.

Indiana vs Oregon: side-by-side game comparison

Six metrics, one pattern: the gap widened from a 10-point outcome in Eugene to a 34-point Peach Bowl blowout.

Metric Oct. 11, 2025 — Eugene Jan. 9, 2026 — Atlanta (Peach Bowl)
Final score Indiana 30, Oregon 20 (FOX Sports box score) Indiana 56, Oregon 22 (CFP recap)
Halftime score Not in reviewed sources Indiana 35, Oregon 7 (CFP quarter scores)
Location Autzen Stadium, Eugene (ESPN game page) Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
Stakes Regular season College Football Playoff semifinal
Indiana’s leading passer Fernando Mendoza, 215 yards, 1 TD (ESPN game page) Not itemized in reviewed sources
Resulting records — Indiana 15-0, Oregon 13-2 (Oregon Athletics)

The pattern: comparing a 10-point game and a 34-point game risks mixing two different contests. That’s exactly the point — Indiana beat Oregon both ways.

Indiana vs Oregon: the series timeline

  • — Indiana 30, Oregon 20 at Autzen Stadium, Eugene (ESPN box score).
  • — Indiana 56, Oregon 22 in the Peach Bowl, CFP semifinal, at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta (CFP recap).
  • Future — no Indiana-Oregon matchup is scheduled as of the analysis date.

The sequence matters: the regular-season loss gave Oregon a warning, and the Peach Bowl gave the Ducks an exit. Two meetings, two Indiana wins, zero ambiguity.

What’s confirmed vs. what’s still unclear

Confirmed facts

  • Indiana won 30-20 in Eugene on Oct. 11, 2025 (ESPN box score).
  • Indiana won 56-22 in the Peach Bowl on Jan. 9, 2026 (CFP recap).
  • Indiana outgained Oregon 326-267 and led first downs 23-14 in the regular-season game (ESPN box score).
  • Indiana finished the season 15-0; Oregon finished 13-2 (Oregon Athletics).

What’s unclear

  • Whether the teams met before 2025 — no earlier game pages appear in the primary sources reviewed.
  • The reported 2-2 split in the four pre-Peach Bowl meetings comes from Wikipedia’s series summary, not from primary game pages.
  • Exact betting odds for either game are not publicly archived.
  • Indiana’s home/away record in earlier series meetings is flagged as needing verification.

The implication: the headline number — Indiana leads 3-2 — is real but rests on a short, partially community-documented history. The two games everyone can verify both went Indiana’s way.

What the official recaps said

Two institutions drew different conclusions from the same result.

“Indiana 56, Oregon 22 — the Peach Bowl semifinal result” — the line that ended Oregon’s season and kept Indiana’s title run alive (College Football Playoff recap).

“Early mistakes doomed the Ducks” — the official framing of Oregon’s 56-22 Peach Bowl loss (University of Oregon Athletics).

The tension is instructive: Oregon’s recap points to self-inflicted mistakes; the CFP’s recap simply marks the result. Both descriptions are true, and together they explain why Indiana won big.

The forward stake

Every number in this series now runs through Indiana. The Hoosiers won 30-20 and then 56-22 (FOX Sports box score; CFP recap), put a reported 3-2 series lead on the board, and moved on to the national title game. For Oregon’s coaching staff, the path is straightforward: fix the early-game mistakes that produced a 35-7 halftime hole, or the next meeting with Indiana will look like a replay.

Additional sources

si.com, en.wikipedia.org, espn.in, en.wikipedia.org, sports.yahoo.com, espn.co.uk, columbian.com

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Frequently asked questions

When was the last Indiana vs Oregon game played?

The most recent meeting was Jan. 9, 2026, when Indiana beat Oregon 56-22 in the Peach Bowl semifinal at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta (CFP recap).

Where was the Peach Bowl between Indiana and Oregon held?

At Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, Georgia, with a 7:30 p.m. ET kickoff, per the College Football Playoff recap.

Who are the startng quarterback for each team?

The reviewed sources identify Fernando Mendoza as Indiana’s quarterback in the Oct. 11, 2025 win, with 215 passing yards and one touchdown (ESPN’s box score). Oregon’s starter in that game and the starters for the Peach Bowl are not specified in the sources pulled.

How does the series record stand now?

Indiana leads 3-2, according to Wikipedia’s 2026 Peach Bowl article, with each team winning two of the four meetings before the semifinal.

How many points did Indiana score in the Peach Bowl?

56 points, on quarter scores of 14, 21, 7, and 14, with eight offensive touchdowns (CFP recap).

Did Oregon ever beat Indiana?

Yes — per Wikipedia’s series summary, Oregon won two of the four pre-Peach Bowl meetings, though those games’ dates aren’t detailed in the primary sources reviewed.

What is the significance of the Peach Bowl in college football?

The Peach Bowl is one of the College Football Playoff’s semifinal host games; the Jan. 9, 2026 edition sent Indiana to the national championship game and ended Oregon’s season at 13-2 (Oregon Athletics).